By: Eliza Bennet
According to multiple recent reports, despite Bitcoin’s current lows, the market could be gearing up for a potential resumption of the bull trend. Analysts at cryptocurrency analytics firms Santiment and CryptoQuant have analyzed on-chain data to identify nuances in behavioral patterns among Bitcoin market participants. Notably, they have pointed out recurring patterns relating to the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL), Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA), and Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) metrics.
According to the contributions made by Maksim Balashevich, CEO of Santiment, and Phi Deltalytics, an analyst at CryptoQuant, despite the lacklustre price action, Bitcoin's Adjusted SOPR (asSOPR) is still displaying bullish signs. Further, while Santiment's supply distribution data reveals that mainly smaller holders have been accumulating lately, there appears to be an ongoing redistribution phase that has persisted for about 4-5 months.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggests that the journey to further Bitcoin accumulation might not be a smooth one. In his recent analysis, Brandt identified decay in the momentum of Bitcoin's bull market cycles over the years, implying weakening thrusts. Although Brandt does not discount the possible resumption of the bull trend, he raises a cautionary note about the diminishing magnitude of gains during each cycle. Notwithstanding all these insights, the future course of Bitcoin remains uncertain. Provided market participants stay vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly, Bitcoin could still be poised for further redistribution and a potential continuance of the bull market.
Bitcoin has been trending in a range between $60,000 to $70,000 since its last all-time high. The future trend for this cryptocurrency could be widely variable depending on multiple factors, including overall investment strategies, portfolio sizes, and risk tolerance. The focus then leans towards combining data analysis with individual observations to reach suitable decisions, rather than relying solely on predictions.