By: Eliza Bennet
Bitcoin's price has notably dipped below $90,000 this week, a level it last encountered seven months ago. This slump has instigated varied reactions in the crypto community, with some seeing it as a cause for concern and others as a potential buying opportunity. Key market analysts, including BitMine chairman Tom Lee and Bitwise Asset Management’s chief investment officer Matt Hougan, have expressed optimism that the current decline might herald a market bottom.
In an interview with CNBC, Tom Lee pointed to the big liquidation event on October 10 as a significant contributing factor to the current downturn, coupled with trader nervousness about potential US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Lee highlighted that signs of market exhaustion were becoming evident, supported by discussions with Demar Analytics, suggesting a bottom could form soon. Hougan echoed this sentiment, describing the current price levels as a “generational opportunity,” encouraging long-term investors to consider the market's potential.
The market dynamics further reveal that the recent sell-off has been predominantly driven by short-term holders. According to XWIN Research, these holders sold at a loss, causing the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio to fall below 1 on several instances. Meanwhile, traditional market metrics and on-chain measures suggest long-term holders are engaging in typical profit-taking rather than large-scale sell-offs, indicating potential further growth.
While the market outlook remains mixed, reports indicate that external factors such as outflows from exchange-traded funds, large whale sales, and geopolitical tensions have also exerted additional pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Nevertheless, both Lee and Hougan anticipate a price recovery if stock markets rally towards year-end, which could foster an upswing in Bitcoin prices. The current downturn is perceived by some as a strategic entry point for investors aiming for a longer-term hold.