By: Isha Das
In a recent turn of events, Bitcoin's status as 'digital gold' is under scrutiny as the real gold price reaches new all-time highs. While the rally in the gold market might not directly influence Bitcoin prices, it is creating a more favorable environment for cryptocurrency investments. According to market analysts, as traditional assets like gold perform well, investors looking to diversify may turn to digital assets such as Bitcoin.
Amid these developments, a recent US jobs report has exacerbated economic concerns, revealing an unemployment spike to 4.3% and the creation of only 114,000 jobs. This led to the triggering of the Sahm Rule, an economic indicator signaling a recession is underway if the unemployment rate rises by half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year. Despite these alarming figures, Bitcoin has shown resilience. Initially holding steady at around $65,000, it has since dipped slightly to $63,700 as of the latest reports.
Bitcoin’s resilience can be partly attributed to its decoupling from major equity indices like QQQ and SPY, where its 30-day rolling correlation stands in negative territory. This suggests Bitcoin is not following the sharp downward trend of US equities. More notably, Bitcoin's correlation with gold has grown significantly, from negative levels a few weeks ago to a current reading of 0.32. This strengthens the argument for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset similar to gold. Concurrently, gold itself has been trending upwards by 1% and is approaching the $2,500 per ounce mark.
Given this dynamic market landscape, both Bitcoin and gold appear to be solid choices for investors looking to hedge against economic downturns. Investors should closely monitor these assets as their interrelation might present unique opportunities or risks depending on the global economic outlook.