By: Eliza Bennet
Circle, the prominent stablecoin issuer known for USDC, has been making headlines with its plan to go public. The company filed for an initial public offering (IPO) in April 2023, targeting a substantial valuation of $5 billion. However, in a strategic twist, the firm is simultaneously engaging in exploratory talks with major industry players Coinbase and Ripple regarding a possible acquisition.
These discussions, although still in their nascent stages, highlight the evolving landscape in which Circle operates. Notably, the potential sale is closely tied to Circle's relationship with Coinbase, with whom it shares a deep-rooted integration in the USDC ecosystem. Originally co-governors of USDC through the Centre Consortium, the governance was later transferred solely to Circle, but the revenue-sharing model between the two persists significantly. The companies split residual revenues from reserves backing USDC evenly, and Coinbase benefits from 100% revenue when USDC is held on its platform. These factors contribute to why insiders view Coinbase as a natural acquirer of Circle.
While Coinbase seems to be a prime contender, Ripple, another key player, also expressed interest by making a bid valued between $4 billion and $5 billion, which Circle dismissed as insufficient. Ripple's offer was a combination of cash and the cryptocurrency XRP, indicating its financial strategy. Ripple, despite its proactive acquisition strategy, is considered less likely to acquire Circle compared to Coinbase, which boasts extensive cash reserves and has shown a predilection for acquisitions that augment its capabilities in the crypto ecosystem.
As Circle's IPO plan progresses, it remains committed to public listing ambitions. However, the dynamic nature of the market and the ongoing discussions suggest potential changes ahead. With the IPO target and the estimated valuation of $5 billion serving as benchmarks, the developments in the coming weeks could see Circle potentially diverge onto a sale path that could reshape the landscape of stablecoin issuance and crypto exchange interdependencies.