By: Eliza Bennet
Recent developments in global economic policy have led to increased volatility and a downturn in the cryptocurrency market. A pivotal trigger is the anticipated change in leadership at the United States Federal Reserve, causing uncertainty amongst traders. Coupled with growing concerns over macroeconomic challenges in the US, investors have been steering clear of riskier assets, leading to a significant correction in the crypto markets. The ripple effect of these events was seen as the crypto market experienced $527 million in liquidations within a span of 24 hours, highlighting traders' caution.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is also on traders' radars, with an expected interest rate increase scheduled for December 19. Historically, rate hikes by the BOJ have tightened global liquidity and pressured risk assets, including Bitcoin. Analysis shows that past hikes since 2024 have resulted in Bitcoin dropping by more than 20%. As the yen strengthens and borrowing costs rise, investors who previously utilized cheap yen-denominated loans may have to unwind these positions, leading to a potential reversal in capital flows across global markets.
Bitcoin prices have demonstrated this sensitivity as it fell through crucial support levels recently. After briefly trading above $90,000, Bitcoin has dipped below $88,000, and analysts signal that it could further decline if the current bearish sentiment continues. Technical indicators suggest key resistance levels at $89,000 may pose challenges for the cryptocurrency’s recovery, leaving investors wary of a persistent downtrend.
As traders brace for a slew of significant data releases from the US, market strategies are being recalibrated. The intersection of central bank policy decisions, both domestically and internationally, with market dynamics underscores the heightened complexity and interconnectedness of today's financial systems. Cryptocurrency traders are advised to tread carefully, as past BOJ tightening instances have led to notable declines, and similar patterns could unfold if the expected rate adjustments materialize.