By: Isha Das
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has granted Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, regulatory approval to resume its operations in the United States. This decision marks a significant milestone for Polymarket, registering its re-entry into the US market. The green light was given through a no-action letter to QCX LLC, a derivatives exchange Polymarket acquired for $112 million as part of its pivot back to US operations.
The no-action letter, issued on September 3, exempts QCX and QC Clearing LLC from certain swap data reporting and record-keeping requirements for event contracts. This regulatory relief allows Polymarket to operate within federal derivatives regulations, laying the groundwork for US operations to commence soon. Notably, Polymarket ceased its US activities in 2022 following a settlement with the CFTC over unregistered derivatives trading, which included a $1.4 million penalty and restrictions on American users accessing its markets.
In a social media announcement, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan praised the CFTC for its efficiency and transparency throughout the process and hinted at imminent plans to relaunch in the US, with a succinct "stay tuned." This approval comes amid broader efforts by Polymarket to solidify its market presence, including strategic moves such as enrolling Donald Trump Jr. on its advisory board. His involvement followed an undisclosed investment from the venture capital firm 1789 Capital.
Despite this regulatory win, Polymarket continues to face challenges. Recent controversies have emerged regarding the validation mechanisms of their prediction markets, particularly concerning oracle-related ambiguities. Disputes arisen over Bitcoin market predictions have led to calls for clearer bet formulation and market resolution processes. These issues underscore ongoing concerns about the reliance on UMA's oracles for validation, which can be susceptible to manipulation by token holders with significant stakes, known as "whales." Nevertheless, Polymarket's return is poised to inject further dynamism into the US prediction markets, reflecting the increasing popularity of political and economic forecasting.